Weather Systems and Forecast and Warnings during next 5 days

Weather Systems Forecasts and Warning for next five days are prepared and being reported below.

An active Western Disturbance likely to affect Western Himalayan Region from 29th February and plains of northwest India from 1st March to 3rd March with peak intensity on 1st & 2nd March, 2024. High moisture feeding from Arabian Sea to northwest India is also likely during 1st to 2nd March.

Under its influence: Fairly widespread to widespread light/moderate rainfall accompanied with thunderstorms & lightning very likely over Western Himalayan Region during 1st – 3rd March, 2024. Scattered to fairly widespread light/moderate rainfall accompanied with thunderstorms & lightning very likely over Punjab, Haryana-Chandigarh-Delhi and isolated to scattered light/moderate rainfall over Uttar Pradesh, Rajasthan on 1st & 2nd March, 2024.

Isolated heavy rainfall/snowfall very likely over Jammu-Kashmir-Ladakh-Gilgit- Baltistan-Muzaffarabad and Himachal Pradesh on 1st and isolated heavy to very heavy rainfall/snowfall on 2nd March 2024.

Isolated heavy rainfall/snowfall also very likely over Uttarakhand and isolated heavy rainfall over Punjab on 02nd March, 2024. Hailstorm activity also very likely at isolated places over Himachal Pradesh and Uttarakhand on 1st & 2nd March; Rajasthan on 1st March and over Haryana- Chandigarh, Punjab and West Uttar Pradesh on 2nd March, 2024.

The state-wise weather forecast

Jammu, Kashmir and Ladakh

  • Light to moderate rain/snowfall accompanied with thunderstorm & lightning at most places on 01st & 02nd March; at a few places on 29th February & 3rd March and at isolated places on 27st February & 04th March.
  • Heavy to very heavy rainfall/snowfall very likely at isolated places on 02nd March; Heavy rainfall/snowfall at isolated places on 01st March.

Himachal Pradesh

  • Light to moderate rain/snowfall accompanied with thunderstorm, lightning and gusty winds (speed reaching 40-50 kmph gusting to 60 kmph) at most places on 01st 02nd March; at many places on 03rd march; at a few places on 27th February and at isolated places on 29th February & 04th March.
  • Heavy to very heavy rainfall/snowfall very likely at isolated places on 02nd March; Heavy rainfall/snowfall at isolated places on 01st March.
  • Light to moderate hailstorm is likely at isolated places on 01st & 02nd March.

Uttarakhand

  • Light to moderate rain/snowfall accompanied with thunderstorm & lightning at most places on 02nd March; at many places on 01st & 03rd march; at a few places on 27th February and at isolated places during 04th March.
  • Heavy rainfall/snowfall at isolated places likely on 02nd March.
  • Light to moderate hailstorm is likely at isolated places on 01st & 02nd March.

Punjab

  • Light to moderate rain accompanied with thunderstorm, lightning and gusty winds (speed reaching 40-50 kmph gusting to 60 kmph) at many places on 01st & 02nd March; and at isolated places on 27th February and 03rd March.
  • Heavy rainfall/snowfall at isolated places likely on 02nd March.
  • Light to moderate hailstorm is likely at isolated places on 02nd March.

Haryana, Chandigarh & Delhi

  • Light to moderate rain accompanied with thunderstorm, lightning and gusty winds (speed reaching 30-40 kmph gusting to 50 kmph) at many places over 02nd March; at a few places during 01st March; at isolated places on 27th February & 03rd March.
  • Light to moderate hailstorm is likely at isolated places on 02nd March.

West Uttar Pradesh

  • Light to moderate rain accompanied with thunderstorm & lightning at a few places over 01st march; with gusty winds (speed reaching 30- 40 kmph gusting to 50 kmph) at a few places on 02nd March; at isolated places on 27th February & 03rd March.
  • Light to moderate hailstorm is likely at isolated places on 02nd March.

East Uttar Pradesh

  • Light to moderate rain accompanied with thunderstorm & lightning at a few places on 02nd March; at isolated places on 27th February, 01st, 03rd & 04th March.

West Rajasthan

  • Light to moderate rain accompanied with thunderstorm & lightning with gusty winds (speed reaching upto 40-50 kmph gusting to 60 kmph) at isolated places on 27th February, 01st & 02nd March.
  • Light to moderate hailstorm is likely at isolated places on 01st March.

East Rajasthan

  • Light to moderate rain accompanied with thunderstorm & lightning with gusty winds (speed reaching upto 30-40 kmph gusting to 50 kmph) at isolated places on 27th February, 01st & 02nd March.
  • Light to moderate hailstorm is likely at isolated places on 01st March.

West Madhya Pradesh

  • Light to moderate rain accompanied with thunderstorm & lightning with gusty winds (speed reaching upto 30-40 kmph gusting to 50 kmph) at isolated places on 27th ,29th February, 01st & 02nd March

East Madhya Pradesh

  • Light to moderate rain accompanied with thunderstorm & lightning at isolated places on 28th,29th February; with gusty, squally winds (speed reaching upto 50-60 kmph gusting to 70 kmph) at many places on 27th February; with gusty winds (speed reaching upto 30- 40 kmph gusting to 50 kmph) at a few places on 02nd March, at isolated places on 01st, 02nd, 04th March.

Impact & Action Suggested due to heavy/very heavy/rainfall/snowfall

Jammu- Kashmir-Ladakh-Gilgit-Baltistan-Muzaffarabad, Himachal Pradesh on 1st & 2nd and Uttarakhand on 2nd March, 2024.

Impacts Expected:

  • Disruption of Electricity.
  • Landslide, rock fall and mudslides, Blocking/washout of roads/highways/bridges Nallahs.
  • Disruption of traffic flow.
  • Damage to Kuccha and unsecured structures.

Action Suggested:

  • Avoid roadway underpasses, drainage ditches, low lying areas and areas where water collects – they can unexpectedly flood or overflow.
    • Stay away from power lines or electrical wires.
    • Don’t stay in kuchcha houses during heavy rainfall as it may collapse anytime soon
  • Drive carefully.

Impact expected and action suggested due to thunderstorm with lightning/gusty winds & Hailstorm

over Madhya Pradesh on 27th February and over Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand on 01st & 02nd March; Rajasthan on 01st March and over Haryana-Chandigarh, Punjab and West Uttar Pradesh on 02nd March, 2024.

Impact expected

  • Strong wind/hail may damage plantation, horticulture and standing crops.
  • Hail may injure people and cattle at open places.
  • Partial damage to vulnerable structures due to strong winds.
  • Minor damage to kutcha houses/walls and huts.
  • Loose objects may fly.

Action suggested

  • Stay indoors, close windows & doors and avoid travel if possible.
  • Take safe shelters; do not take shelter under trees.
  • Do not lie on concrete floors and do not lean against concrete walls.
  • Unplug electrical/ electronic appliances.
  • Immediately get out of water bodies.
  • Keep away from all the objects that conduct electricity.

Agromet Advisories

  • Drain out excess water from crop fields to avoid water stagnation in Jammu & Kashmir and Himachal Pradesh.
  • Make necessary arrangements to drain out excess water from the crop fields in Uttarakhand, Punjab, Arunachal Pradesh and Sub Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim.
  • Remove snow immediately from the branches and crotches in Jammu & Kashmir and Himachal Pradesh.
  • Postpone sowing of French bean & Potato in Uttarakhand and direct sowing of vegetables in Jammu & Kashmir.
  • Use hail nets or hail caps in fruit orchards to protect them from mechanical damage in Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand, Punjab, Haryana, West Uttar Pradesh and north Rajasthan.
  • Keep harvested produce in safe places.
  • Provide mechanical support to horticultural crops and staking to vegetables.